So even if it would’ve been called “Moore’s thingamabob”, it was never really intended as a real theory? It was only like, tongue-in-cheek the whole time?
In a 2015 interview, Moore noted of the 1965 article: “… I just did a wild extrapolation saying it’s going to continue to double every year for the next 10 years.”
I guess that’s one of the reasons why it was spoken of for so long — the fact that it remained somewhat accurate for longer than expected.
But anyone who is a computer scientist or programmer or anything close to that should know that continuing to double anything grows out of hand very quickly, even if you double it only once a year. 😅
So even if it would’ve been called “Moore’s thingamabob”, it was never really intended as a real theory? It was only like, tongue-in-cheek the whole time?
Yes.
He didn’t even think it’d be true for as long as it was.
I guess that’s one of the reasons why it was spoken of for so long — the fact that it remained somewhat accurate for longer than expected.
But anyone who is a computer scientist or programmer or anything close to that should know that continuing to double anything grows out of hand very quickly, even if you double it only once a year. 😅